Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Wednesday, March 21, 2012
I read the other day that Sweden was well on the way to becoming a completely cashless society. No paper money, no coins. This from the country that brought us the first bank notes ever in the mid 1600's too. Won't be too long before they even quit printing banknotes all together.
In most of their cities, you can't pay for a bus ride or train with cash. All tickets are either prepaid or bought with a cell phone app at the point of purchase. Many of their banks have even stopped dealing in cash transactions. The banks are making money on each and every electronic transaction instead. Clear to see who is the winner and who is the looser here. This has even extended its evil tentacles into their churches for God sake!
Paper money and coins make up only 3% of Swedish transactions. Sounds shocking doesn't it? Well here's an even bigger shocker, at least to me. In our country cash transactions account for a total of only 7% of monetary transactions. Who'd a thunk it?
The cashless advocates say its a matter of security. From the silly, "if you don't have any cash what would robbers do?" To the notion that there would be fewer bank robberies. These guys have all the answers. The Swedish Banker's Association states that robberies of banks are actually down from 110 in 2008 to only 16 in 2011. Accordingly they state that less cash in circulation makes it safer for the banks as well as the public. But more on that later . . . .
They also state that the digital trail that electronic transactions generate is leading to a decline in graft and corruption in Sweden. Adding to this is the observation that other countries with a stronger reliance on cash, like Greece and Italy have a bigger problem with corruption. Cash is a common way to avoid paying Value Added Tax in those countries as well. It contributes to the underground "grey" market economy. Power to the people!
All well and good. But lets talk about the other side for a moment. So bank robberies went from 110 to 16. Computer fraud cases went from about 3,300 in 2000 to 20,000 in 2011. So we went from thugs robbing banks with guns to nerds robbing banks with keyboards. Sounds like a case of law enforcement Whack a Mole to me.
What about our privacy? How about some consideration to our personal rights as American citizens? Currently there are no anonymous payment methods available. If you want to support a charity or give to a family member on the QT, you can't. You will be traceable. I know I expect to be left alone in my dealings with my money. I am getting too much help as it is from the powers that be. I prefer to be left to my own devises. How can I resist having to use my IPhone when I want to buy a newspaper at a rack, or some junk food or Coke at a vending machine? How do I record it to keep my bank account balanced? What about the small business person that has this vending machine route? They are getting charged every time someone buys a Snickers from one of their machines. So much for profit margins.The banks have found another way into our pockets. What about any of the "Dollar" type stores that are out there? Going to have to change their names to the $1.08 Store to account for the bank fees?
This brave new world is a threat to liberty and the American way. Thee is no doubt about it and no way around it. And you ask, what does all this have to do with real estate anyway? Nothing, It's just something that I read and found very interesting, so I thought I'd share it with you.
In most of their cities, you can't pay for a bus ride or train with cash. All tickets are either prepaid or bought with a cell phone app at the point of purchase. Many of their banks have even stopped dealing in cash transactions. The banks are making money on each and every electronic transaction instead. Clear to see who is the winner and who is the looser here. This has even extended its evil tentacles into their churches for God sake!
Paper money and coins make up only 3% of Swedish transactions. Sounds shocking doesn't it? Well here's an even bigger shocker, at least to me. In our country cash transactions account for a total of only 7% of monetary transactions. Who'd a thunk it?
The cashless advocates say its a matter of security. From the silly, "if you don't have any cash what would robbers do?" To the notion that there would be fewer bank robberies. These guys have all the answers. The Swedish Banker's Association states that robberies of banks are actually down from 110 in 2008 to only 16 in 2011. Accordingly they state that less cash in circulation makes it safer for the banks as well as the public. But more on that later . . . .
They also state that the digital trail that electronic transactions generate is leading to a decline in graft and corruption in Sweden. Adding to this is the observation that other countries with a stronger reliance on cash, like Greece and Italy have a bigger problem with corruption. Cash is a common way to avoid paying Value Added Tax in those countries as well. It contributes to the underground "grey" market economy. Power to the people!
All well and good. But lets talk about the other side for a moment. So bank robberies went from 110 to 16. Computer fraud cases went from about 3,300 in 2000 to 20,000 in 2011. So we went from thugs robbing banks with guns to nerds robbing banks with keyboards. Sounds like a case of law enforcement Whack a Mole to me.
What about our privacy? How about some consideration to our personal rights as American citizens? Currently there are no anonymous payment methods available. If you want to support a charity or give to a family member on the QT, you can't. You will be traceable. I know I expect to be left alone in my dealings with my money. I am getting too much help as it is from the powers that be. I prefer to be left to my own devises. How can I resist having to use my IPhone when I want to buy a newspaper at a rack, or some junk food or Coke at a vending machine? How do I record it to keep my bank account balanced? What about the small business person that has this vending machine route? They are getting charged every time someone buys a Snickers from one of their machines. So much for profit margins.The banks have found another way into our pockets. What about any of the "Dollar" type stores that are out there? Going to have to change their names to the $1.08 Store to account for the bank fees?
This brave new world is a threat to liberty and the American way. Thee is no doubt about it and no way around it. And you ask, what does all this have to do with real estate anyway? Nothing, It's just something that I read and found very interesting, so I thought I'd share it with you.
Wednesday, March 14, 2012
I keep
hearing that the housing market needs to improve for the economy to
turn around. Pundits and government types are always spouting off about
the importance of this. I also read frequently how government regulation
is strangling business and any hope of recovery.
What
I’m witnessing in our housing market is more of the latter. Its not the
first time either. We had a similar mortgage melt down in the late 80’s
in the savings and loan industry. Once again it was caused by easy
money due to improper government oversight. The consequence of that was a
9 year crash of the construction cycle in our area and the nationwide
destruction of a thriving savings and loan industry that fed and
educated tens of thousands of American families.
The
consequence this time has been the destruction of a thriving mortgage
industry that fed and educated tens of thousands of American families.
You never see a savings and loan any more, you never see private mortgage business either.
The
government is further upping the ante by onerous regulation on the
banking business that has become the principle funding source for home
loans. The regulatory environment has become so restrictive that no new
bank has been chartered in the whole country last year. That’s the first
time that has occurred in close to 50 years. This is some serious
stuff. Can’t start new banks, existing banks are forced to consolidate,
competition is down, home loans are down, the economy is down, and I’m
not feeling so good myself.
Wednesday, March 7, 2012
Here it is! Tampa Bay Area numbers for the last quarter including February 2012 . . .
Once again, it ain't pretty.
Once again, it ain't pretty.
Hillsborough County
Total
Active Sold for month Sold Last Year
Dec-11 5,991 1,355 1,402
Jan-12 5,616 1,062 1,121
Feb-12 5,326 1,196 1,282
Pinllas County
Dec-11 7,946 1,278 1,363
Jan-12 7,729 985 794
Feb-12 7,466 1,099 1,141
So February was better than January by a dab. Both counties showed an 11% increase in units closed. Still its 7% less than last year. Homes listed for sale are still decreasing. That's a trend that has persisted.
We are still seeing Foreclosed properties make up 15% of the market and short sales about 20%. The balance is traditional homes for sale. The statistic that really pops out at me is in Hillsborough County the pending sales is just about equal to al the active homes for sale. Very strange number. I wish I knew what it means. Pinellas has a 3 to 1 ratio actives to pendings.
Regardless what conclusions I can draw, this is not a healthy market.
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